(1) Serena Williams vs. (Q) Simona Halep
Head-to-head: Williams leads 1-0
Record runs collide on the red clay. Serena roars into the semifinals riding a career-best 22-match winning streak, while Halep is on a personal-best six-match surge. On paper, this may look like a mismatch, but consider that Halep took a set from Serena in their lone meeting at the 2011 Wimbledon, and has taken down several Top 20 opponents playing the best tennis of her career this week.
"Usually players of that height don't serve as well—she has so much power on her serve, that's actually really awesome," Williams said after winning 12 of the final 15 games to beat Halep at Wimbledon.
The 21-year-old Romanian, already a veteran of three clay-court finals, knocked off Daniela Hantuchova in qualifying, surrendered just two games in a sweep of former French Open champion Svetlana Kuznetsova, edged fourth-seeded Agnieszka Radwanska, and defeated 13th-seeded Italian Robert Vinci, all before saving match points to fight off former Rome champion Jelena Jankovic on Friday.
Serena has played with more variety, using the slice serve wide on both sides effectively to set up her first strike, hitting the short-angled and deep backhand cross-court to set up her down-the-line backhand, and playing the drop shot to take advantage of opponents retreating into prevent-defense mode. If you’ve seen Halep play this week, you know she is tough and smart, but Serena has more power, more variety, and looks like she’s got plenty of motivation. This match is in her hands.
The Pick: S. Williams in two sets