He’s No. 1 player by a comfortable margin, but does he feel a little like the odd man out at the moment? The other three members of the Big Four will head to Wimbledon having won their most recent event, while Djokovic’s last significant victory came when he beat Rafael Nadal in Monte Carlo back in April. The question right now is: How will his brutal five-set loss to Nadal at Roland Garros affect him at this Grand Slam? Based on Novak’s track record the last two year’s, it’s hard to say. In 2011, he suffered an equally crushing loss to Roger Federer in Paris, then bounced back to win Wimbledon. Last year, though, he fell to Rafa in the French final and had disappointing results at both Wimbledon and the Olympics. Does nearly becoming the second man to beat Rafa in Paris count for anything? We’ll find out.
Why He’ll Win:
Djokovic, who hasn’t lost before the semis at a major since 2010, is the least susceptible of the top names to an upset. And his odds are even or better against all of those top names.
Why He Won’t:
Nadal has built momentum through 2013, Federer is a seven-time champion at Wimbledon, and Murray is extremely motivated and will have the crowd behind him.
Bottom Line:
Djokovic is Most Likely to Make the Semis, but he’ll probably have to do something special once he gets there to win it all.
Click on each player's photo to see our thoughts on their Wimbledon prospects.