Before each day of play at the Australian Open, we'll preview and predict three must-see matches. For full coverage of the season's first Slam, go to our men’s and women’s tournament pages.
Nadal has come through the draw with much fanfare. He has played all four of his matches in Rod Laver Arena, and twice he’s been tapped for the marquee night session. The Rocket himself has even dropped in to watch. Meanwhile, Raonic, despite being the higher seed, has been virtually invisible; the Canadian has played all four of his matches away from Laver. Not that he’s going to care either way once this battle has begun.
It’s a tough one to call. Nadal is 6-2 against Raonic, but the 26-year-old won their most recent meeting, in three sets, in Brisbane earlier this month. Raonic will likely be Raonic—i.e., tough to break. The questions will surround Nadal. How much will winning a five-setter, over Alexander Zverev, and a near five-setter, over Gael Monfils, boost his confidence if this one comes down to the wire? On the one hand, winning always helps; on the other, Rafa was a little lucky both times. Zverev cramped in the fifth, and Monfils turned back into Monfils late in the fourth. In Brisbane, Nadal had Raonic down a set before losing. Will that be the match he remembers best?
Winner: Raonic