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Created on: 6/9/2007 5:04:10 PM
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French Open 2007: Day 15 picks

By Kamakshi Tandon

Head-to-Head: Nadal leads 7-4

2004
Miami R32: Nadal 6-3, 6-3

2005
Miami F: Federer 2-6, 6-7, 7-6, 6-3, 6-1
French Open SF: Nadal 6-3, 4-6, 6-4, 6-3

2006
Dubai F: Nadal 2-6, 6-4, 6-4
Monte Carlo F: Nadal 6-2, 6-7, 6-3, 7-6
Rome F: Nadal 6-7, 7-6, 6-4, 2-6, 7-6
French Open F: Nadal 1-6, 6-1, 6-4, 7-6
Wimbledon F: Federer 6-0, 7-6, 6-7, 6-3
Tennis Masters Cup SF: Federer 6-4, 7-5

2007
Monte Carlo F: Nadal 6-4, 6-4
Hamburg F: Federer 2-6, 6-2, 6-0
Roger Federer (SUI)[1] vs. Rafael Nadal (ESP)[2]Men’s final: Court Philippe Chatrier – 3:00 pm

So here we are again – the first repeat men’s final at the French for as long as anyone can remember. Nadal will be trying to win this third straight French Open, stay unbeaten at the event (20 and counting), stay unbeaten in best-of-five matches on clay (33 and counting), and stay on course to beat his own record of 81 consecutive victories on clay (6 and counting - darn that Federer).

Federer is in much the same position he was last year – trying to win the French Open for the first time, trying to win a career Grand Slam, trying to win a non-calendar (‘Roger’) Slam, trying to stay on track for a calendar Grand Slam, and trying for the second time to break his personal Slam mark of 27 match wins (darn that Nadal).

Something has to give. And because they two are so closely matched that the result on any particular depends very much on their respective form on that day, it’s hard to know what to point to as a leading indicator for this match.

Their semifinals? Federer looked sluggish, Nadal looked nearly impenetrable.

Overall form at this event? Federer has been a little up and down, Nadal slowly gathering steam.

Domination of the rest of the tour? Federer. Domination of the rest of the tour on clay? Nadal.

Their last match? Federer romped past a tired Nadal in the last two sets. He's won three of their last four encounters. Their overall head-to-head? Nadal, easy, including both their matches here the last two years.

If there are any significant differences between this year and last, it’s that last year Federer had almost beaten Nadal on clay; this year, he’s actually done it. Nadal’s play has improved in some respects, but Federer is more prepared to play an aggressive game against him.

The way things are now – if they were to play several times, it’s safe to say Nadal would win a significant majority of the encounters. But any given match, Federer has a decent shot at pulling off a win.

Hey, that’s why they call it The Rivalry.

Prediction: Federer

More 2007 French Open Coverage View Photo Wire
Pro Rankings: November 16
  Click on player name for more information.

Roger Federer, Rafael Nadal

Serena Williams, Dinara Safina

ATP Tour
1.  R. Federer
2.  R. Nadal
3.  N. Djokovic
4.  A. Murray
5.  J. del Potro
6.  A. Roddick
7.  N. Davydenko
8.  F. Verdasco
9.  R. Soderling
10. J. Tsonga
                       More 

 

WTA Tour
1.  S. Williams
2.  D. Safina
3.  S. Kuznetsova

4.  C. Wozniacki
5.  E. Dementieva
6.  V. Williams
7.  V. Azarenka
8.  J. Jankovic
9.  V. Zvonareva

10.  A. Radwanska
                   More 

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