ATP Mutua Madrid Open Betting Preview

The Mutua Madrid Open is always one of the most exciting tournaments of the year, so we’re in for some fantastic tennis over the next two weeks. Of course, Novak Djokovic will be missed, but Carlos Alcaraz, Jannik Sinner, Daniil Medvedev, Alexander Zverev and Casper Ruud are amongst the names competing in the draw. Oh, and Rafael Nadal will also be out there to try and find his form before Roland Garros.

With that in mind, this is a loaded field and it should be a fun event to bet. Keep reading for some things to know before putting your money down.

Last 5 Mutua Madrid Open Champions

• 2018: Alexander Zverev
• 2019: Novak Djokovic
• 2020: Canceled (COVID-19)
• 2021: Alexander Zverev
• 2022: Carlos Alcaraz
• 2023: Carlos Alcaraz

Mutua Madrid Open Betting Odds (presented by FanDuel Sportsbook)

• Jannik Sinner +220
• Carlos Alcaraz +220
• Alexander Zverev 10-1
• Stefanos Tsitsipas 10-1
• Casper Ruud 12-1
• Rafael Nadal 18-1
• Daniil Medvedev 23-1
• Holger Rune 29-1
• Hubert Hurkacz 36-1
• Andrey Rublev 36-1

(For the rest of the odds, head over to FanDuel Sportsbook)

Mutua Madrid Open Conditions

The Madrid Open is played on clay. The ITF Court Pace Rating has it as a Category 1 event, which is classified as “slow.” However, this tournament plays a little faster than your average clay-court tournament. The altitude is the reason for that. The ball still bounces high, as is natural of a clay-court tournamen, but shots will fly faster through the air.

It’s also worth noting that the players won’t have to worry much about heat and humidity until the second week. The weather is supposed to be in the high 60’s and low 70’s early on, and it’ll eventually get to the high 70’s.

Mutua Madrid Open Players To Watch

• Jannik Sinner (+220): Sinner was unable to beat Stefanos Tsitsipas in the semifinals of Monte Carlo, but a good argument can be made that he should have won that match. An egregious call went against Sinner, and it would have put him up a double-break in the third set. So don’t make the mistake of thinking Sinner is still unproven on clay. In addition to his power from the baseline and serious pop on serve, Sinner is also an elite returner, and he has added a lot of variety to his game. That’s because Darren Cahill is trying to make him a more unpredictable player. Sinner is also coming to the net to end points earlier—all of which will help him on clay. Overall, Sinner has one of the most complete games on tour, is 25-2 in 220,and he should have a real shot in this tournament.
• Carlos Alcaraz (+220): Alcaraz has won this event two years in a row and the conditions are absolutely perfect for him. However, we haven’t seen Alcaraz play a clay-court match since mid-February, and he comes into this event after having dealt with a forearm injury that forced him out of action in Miami, Monte Carlo and Barcelona. With that in mind, it’s hard to trust whether or not Alcaraz is healthy—but it’d be hard to blame anybody that backs him at this price. He has shaken off injury concerns before, so it’s entirely possible he’ll do it again.
• Casper Ruud (12-1): If you’re still sleeping on Ruud, wake up! After losing to Tsitsipas in the final in Monte Carlo, the Norwegian got revenge in the Barcelona final. Over the last 52 weeks, Ruud has won 27 matches on clay, more than anybody else on tour. On top of that, Ruud is a back-to-back runner-up at Roland Garros. Overall, there just aren’t many players that are capable of running Ruud off the clay, and he continues to expand his game. Ruud has worked hard to become a more reliable server, and he is taking more chances with both his forehand and backhand. Ruud knows that he is viewed as a conservative player, and he knows that changing that is the only way for him to reach another level. So, don’t be surprised if Ruud continues to grow as a player, and a 1000-level title on clay is well within reason.
• Alexander Zverev (12-1): Zverev should be taken seriously in Madrid. Not only has the 27-year-old won this tournament twice in his career, but he also happened to get a pretty good draw. Zverev will be favored in every match he plays until a potential semi-final showdown with Alcaraz, but there’s no guarantee the Spaniard even makes it there. So, Zverev is somebody to really consider at his current odds. His serve is a serious weapon in a faster clay-court setting, as it’s still really hard for opponents to return. But the high bounce of the clay also gives Zverev the small, extra amount of time he needs to load up on his forehand side. His forehand is a bit of a weakness, but these courts take that away. And his backhand is always one of the biggest weapons on the court. This is where he plays his best tennis, so you can’t rule out anything.
• Lorenzo Musetti (N/A): Musetti doesn’t currently have odds attached to his name, but he’s a sleeper to keep an eye on. If somebody does end up beating Alcaraz early, there’s a good chance it’s Musetti. The two are currently slated for a potential second-round matchup, and Musetti would be a tough challenge for an out-of-form Alcaraz. Musetti has all-court power and a supreme confidence in his clay-court ability. And if the Italian does somehow knock Alcaraz out, he should be considered the favorite to reach the semifinals as he takes over his draw. The 22-year-old is much better than his current ranking suggests, and nobody will want him on the other side of the net in Madrid.