krejcikova trophy

Coco Gauff claimed the second major of the year at Roland Garros, beating Aryna Sabalenka in a wild final. We’re now two Slams into the 2025 season, yet we haven’t seen Sabalenka or Iga Swiatek in the winner’s circle. Will that change at Wimbledon?

Plenty of players will be heading to the All England Club with confidence, especially with some of the long shots that have won this event in recent seasons. With that in mind, let’s take a look at how things might play out in London with a betting preview.

INTERVIEW: Iga Swiatek talks Bad Homburg SF win

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Recent Wimbledon Winners

  • 2019: Simona Halep
  • 2020: No tournament held
  • 2021: Ashleigh Barty
  • 2022: Elena Rybakina
  • 2023: Marketa Vondrousova
  • 2024: Barbora Krejcikova

Wimbledon Betting Odds

  • Aryna Sabalenka (+290)
  • Elena Rybakina (+650)
  • Iga Swiatek (+700)
  • Coco Gauff (+800)
  • Marketa Vondrousova (12-1)
  • Madison Keys (18-1)
  • Mirra Andreeva (18-1)
  • Jessica Pegula (22-1)
  • Qinwen Zheng (25-1)
  • Jasmine Paolini (33-1)

(For the rest of the odds, head over to BetMGM)

Wimbledon Conditions

Grass-court tennis is definitely unique. The courts are slicker and faster than most, and the ball doesn’t bounce as high as it does elsewhere. Tennis Abstract’s Surface Speed ratings have Wimbledon at 1.12. That means that players hit 12% more aces at Wimbledon in 2024 than they did on tour-average surfaces. Naturally, these courts favor big servers, but you can’t just be a servebot. Variety goes a long way on grass, which is why players that can play at the net, utilize slice shots and hit good dropshots also play well at this time of year.

The conditions do change over the course of the tournament, though. Earlier in the tournament, when the grass looks verdant, things are much faster. As the grass becomes a little more worn, things slow down significantly, and the bounces can be all over the place. That’s why players with adaptability tend to do well at Wimbledon.

Wimbledon Players To Watch

Mirra Andreeva (12-1): Will Andreeva find her game—or a sense of calm—in London? The 18-year-old has lost three of her last four matches, and one of those saw her breaking down mentally against massive underdog Lois Boisson in the quarterfinals of Roland Garros. Andreeva had trouble dealing with the raucous crowd, and the internal struggles have carried over a bit since.

Andreeva is extremely young, so it’s understandable that she’s still learning to deal with certain situations. But she has the game to win majors right now, so expectations are only getting higher.

I’m also interested in seeing how Andreeva looks in these conditions. She got blasted off the court by Linda Noskova in Bad Homburg, and that has previously been a good matchup for her. I’m now wondering whether or not she has the game to win on grass right now. Andreeva is just 4-5 on the surface, and it might take her some time to add the muscle and firepower she needs to push opponents around on grass.

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Jessica Pegula (25-1): Pegula is one of the players I’m targeting. Grass hasn’t been Pegula’s surface, as she has a worse winning percentage here than she does on clay or hard courts. But there’s no reason that can’t change.

Pegula hits big, flat shots that should be impactful in these conditions, and she’s having the best serving season of her career (74.6% hold percentage, 62.0% first serves in). Pegula has also played some good grass-court matches already, beating Katerina Siniakova, a good grass-court performer, 6-2, 6-3 in Bad Homburg; then following that one up with a win over Emma Navarro; and then a hard-fought victory over Noskova.

If Pegula just continues to make first serves at a high clip, she might be able to make a deep run. At her current price, she’s one of my favorite plays on the women’s side—especially to win her quarter.

In five appearances at Wimbledon, the four-time Grand Slam champion  Swiatek has only reached the fourth round twice.

In five appearances at Wimbledon, the four-time Grand Slam champion  Swiatek has only reached the fourth round twice.

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Wimbledon Pick To Win

Iga Swiatek (+700): Swiatek normally has low expectations come grass-court season, and we usually cut her some slack considering that she tends to be coming off a Roland Garros title. But people are going to want to see something more from her this year, as she lost in the semifinals in Paris and hasn’t yet won an event in 2025.

There are some reasons to believe in Swiatek to do some damage in London. While she hasn’t been beyond the quarterfinals at Wimbledon, it did seem like Wim Fissette had her playing some better tennis on faster courts earlier in the year. She was a real threat to win the Australian Open, which is another major in which she normally struggles.

Perhaps the changes Swiatek made to get better on quick surfaces hurt her on clay, which is obviously her favorite surface. But if she has made some strides on grass courts, this is a wide open event and she might be able to break through. If she can just get to the second week, she’ll have a chance when the courts get a little grittier.

I’ll be on Swiatek, Pegula and Keys to win, and I feel good about it being one of the three. But Swiatek has the best shot.