What the ATP’s year-end Top 30 would look like if there had been points at Wimbledon

One of the big “what ifs” of the 2022 season was what if there had been ranking points awarded at Wimbledon?

If you’ve ever wondered that, you’ve come to the right place—below is what the ATP’s year-end Top 30 would look like if points had been awarded at Wimbledon this year.

The ATP's year-end rankings won’t be published until two weeks from now on December 5th, 2022, but with only the Davis Cup Finals (which doesn’t award ranking points) and Challengers on the calendar until then, and only negligible points dropping off in the next two weeks, nothing on the below list can change.

(click here for the WTA version of this list)

ATP YEAR-END TOP 30 IF THERE WERE POINTS AT WIMBLEDON:
No. 1 Carlos Alcaraz
No. 2 Novak Djokovic [+3]
No. 3 Rafael Nadal [-1]
No. 4 Casper Ruud [-1]
No. 5 Stefanos Tsitsipas [-1]
No. 6 Felix Auger-Aliassime
No. 7 Daniil Medvedev
No. 8 Andrey Rublev
No. 9 Taylor Fritz
No. 10 Cameron Norrie [+4]

No. 11 Nick Kyrgios [+11]
No. 12 Hubert Hurkacz [-2]
No. 13 Holger Rune [-2]
No. 14 Jannik Sinner [+1]
No. 15 Alexander Zverev [-3]
No. 16 Pablo Carreno Busta [-3]
No. 17 Matteo Berrettini [-1]
No. 18 Frances Tiafoe [+1]
No. 19 Denis Shapovalov [-1]
No. 20 Marin Cilic [-3]

No. 21 Karen Khachanov [-1]
No. 22 Roberto Bautista Agut [-1]
No. 23 Alex de Minaur [+1]
No. 24 Lorenzo Musetti [-1]
No. 25 Diego Schwartzman
No. 26 Borna Coric
No. 27 Dan Evans
No. 28 Miomir Kecmanovic [+1]
No. 29 Grigor Dimitrov [-1]
No. 30 Francisco Cerundolo

The most notable change would be at the very top—Alcaraz would still be No. 1, but Djokovic would be No. 2 instead of No. 5, pushing Nadal down to No. 3. And the three of them would be within 260 points of each other (Alcaraz 7,000, Djokovic 6,820, Nadal 6,740).

Two other players would have benefited in a big way: Norrie, a semifinalist at Wimbledon this year, would be No. 10 instead of No. 14 for the first year-end Top 10 finish of his career; and Kyrgios, who reached his first Grand Slam final at the All England Club, would be No. 11 right now instead of No. 22, which would be the highest year-end ranking of his career (beating his No. 13 finish in 2016).

It’s also worth noting that seven of the above players weren’t even able to compete at Wimbledon this year, so wouldn’t have added any points anyway—that includes three who missed it due to the ban on Russian players (Medvedev, Rublev, Khachanov) and four who either missed it due to injury (Zverev), illness (Berrettini, Cilic) or their ranking didn’t make the cut-off at the time (Coric).

(These calculations are purely a hypothetical and not a statement on whether or not there should have been ranking points awarded at Wimbledon, or whether players representing Russia or Belarus should or shouldn’t have been banned from playing this year.)