Federer was full of weird energy out there today; he was more demonstrative than usual, but it didn’t seem all that serious. He spent much of this match deep behind the baseline, in Nadal country. From there, he could wait for Davydenko to miss, which was what usually happened, or wind his racquet speed up and take control of a point when he needed it, the way he did with a brilliant series of transition forehands to break for 3-4 in the third. Here was a full house on Super Saturday at the U.S. Open, and it looked to me like the guy winning the match was a little bored (not that he would ever admit that).
OK, we have our dream final, and Federer now has a second arch-rival to contend with, a hard-court version this time. Two of the first three questions in his presser were about Djokovic. How will the match unfold? After losing to him in Montreal last month, Federer will be out to teach the whippersnapper a lesson—he seems to have grown fonder of Nadal now that Djokovic has taken his place as the cocky tour upstart, don’t you think? But revenge doesn’t always work for Federer. He has never been able to throttle Nadal the way he might have liked, and he couldn’t get any payback against Guillermo Cañas in Key Biscayne after he lost to him in Indian Wells.
For Djokovic’s part, he’ll be nervous to start because of the occasion, but he has the benefit of having nothing to lose—even Federer said today that it will be easier for Djokovic to be the underdog in his first major final. It’s Fed who has a lot to lose, more so than he did against, say, Fernando Gonzalez in the Aussie final. Djokovic has announced himself as a real challenger, and Federer got tight at both the beginning and the end of their match in Montreal.
As far as the points, games, and set themselves, Djokovic will have to serve well to start and anticipate well after that, which he usually does. There have been two Djokovics during this tournament, the passive baseliner who almost went down to Radek Stepanek, and the explosive, forward-moving baseliner who took the iniative away from Juan-Martin Del Potro and blitzed him in record time. It’s pretty clear the explosive version of Djokovic is going to have to show up against Federer. The world No. 1 is the more lethal player once a rally gets started, and Djokovic plays his best tennis wheh he takes a first-strike mentality. He'll need to do that early in the match to pressure Federer and keep him from digging in and dictating. Federer is deadly once he gets a break or a set and relaxes; Djokovic can’t let him relax for a second.
That kind of willful risk-taking is lot to ask on this stage and against this opponent, especially for a Slam final rookie. It’s too much to ask, in fact. Federer may take his time, but if his past at the Open is any indication, he'll get a grip on this match at some point in the third set and let loose with a flurry of insane winners from every possible angle. After that, the inevitable will ensue.
Federer: 6-4, 6-7, 7-5, 6-2
PS: If all else fails, Djokovic could put one of his imitations to use. As Federer is about to serve, go into the Nadal return position and pick your butt—it might remind Federer of bad times and put him in a negative frame of mind.
Finally, with the Fed-Davydenko match lacking much tension or rhythm or anything else, I headed for the back courts to see the wheelchair tournament’s doubles final. As anyone who has ever seen wheelchair tennis, you know it’s a tribute to dogged perseverance—to put it simply, it looks really hard. One player, who didn’t have the use of his right hand, tossed the ball with his foot to serve. But the pros have nothing on these guys (and girls—this match featured three men and woman, Sara Hunter of Canada, who had the best forehand on the court) when it comes to touch volleys. The signature move in wheelchair is to roll toward the net, take the ball on the rise, and cut a little sidespin half-volley that kicks toward the side fence and out of reach of the other team. It’s a crafty and deft play, like the best tennis plays, and it’s the one shot I won’t forget from this year’s Open.
Enjoy the women’s final. I’ll have a report tomorrow morning.