MATCH POINT: Jack Draper survives Brandon Nakashima |London QF

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The new ATP and WTA rankings are out, and these ones are critical, as they’re the rankings that Wimbledon uses for their seeds.

And for a few players, things have taken an upwards tick just in time—starting with Jack Draper, who rises from No. 6 back to his career-high ranking of No. 4 after a semifinal run at Queen’s Club. That guarantees him the No. 4 seed at Wimbledon, meaning he won’t have to face either No. 1 Jannik Sinner or No. 2 Carlos Alcaraz until at least the semifinals.

The 23-year-old lefty is going to be the fifth British man to be a Top 4 seed at his home Grand Slam tournament in the Open Era.

BRITISH TOP 4 MEN'S SEEDS AT WIMBLEDON IN OPEN ERA:

  • Roger Taylor [No. 3 in 1973]
  • Greg Rusedski [No. 4 in 1998]
  • Tim Henman [No. 4 in 2002]
  • Andy Murray [No. 3 in 2009, No. 4 in 2010, No. 4 in 2011, No. 4 in 2012, No. 2 in 2013, No. 3 in 2014, No. 3 in 2015, No. 2 in 2016, No. 1 in 2017]
  • Jack Draper [No. 4 in 2025]
Draper only has second-round points to defend at Wimbledon this year, having fallen to Cam Norrie in an all-British clash in that round last year.

Draper only has second-round points to defend at Wimbledon this year, having fallen to Cam Norrie in an all-British clash in that round last year.

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Draper isn’t the only man who makes a critical move on the rankings this week, with Holger Rune rising from No. 9 to No. 8 after reaching the quarterfinals at Queen’s Club, securing a Top 8 seed at SW19.

PROJECTED TOP 16 MEN'S SEEDS AT WIMBLEDON (based on June 23rd ATP rankings):

  • No. 1: Jannik Sinner
  • No. 2: Carlos Alcaraz
  • No. 3: Alexander Zverev
  • No. 4: Jack Draper
  • No. 5: Taylor Fritz
  • No. 6: Novak Djokovic
  • No. 7: Lorenzo Musetti
  • No. 8: Holger Rune
  • No. 9: Daniil Medvedev
  • No. 10: Ben Shelton
  • No. 11: Alex de Minaur
  • No. 12: Frances Tiafoe
  • No. 13: Tommy Paul
  • No. 14: Andrey Rublev
  • No. 15: Jakub Mensik [ranked No. 17]
  • No. 16: Francisco Cerundolo [ranked No. 18]

Mensik and Cerundolo slide into the Top 16 seeds as Casper Ruud and Arthur Fils, who are ranked No. 15 and No. 16 in the world, respectively, have already announced their withdrawals from the grass-court major.

And further down, Alexander Bublik joins the lower tier of seeds between No. 17 and No. 32, soaring from No. 45 to No. 30 on the rankings today after winning Halle, meaning he won’t face any of the Top 16 seeds until at least the third round (and they won’t have to face him, either).

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On the women’s side, the biggest ranking change this week that would affect the seeds for Wimbledon is Jasmine Paolini rising from No. 5 to No. 4, securing her a Top 4 seed—and bumping Zheng Qinwen from No. 4 to No. 5, meaning she could face a Top 4 seed in the quarterfinals.

PROJECTED TOP 16 WOMEN'S SEEDS AT WIMBLEDON (based on June 23rd WTA rankings):

  • No. 1: Aryna Sabalenka
  • No. 2: Coco Gauff
  • No. 3: Jessica Pegula
  • No. 4: Jasmine Paolini
  • No. 5: Zheng Qinwen
  • No. 6: Madison Keys
  • No. 7: Mirra Andreeva
  • No. 8: Iga Swiatek
  • No. 9: Paula Badosa
  • No. 10: Emma Navarro
  • No. 11: Elena Rybakina
  • No. 12: Diana Shnaider
  • No. 13: Amanda Anisimova
  • No. 14: Elina Svitolina
  • No. 15: Karolina Muchova
  • No. 16: Daria Kasatkina

And like Bublik on the men’s side, American McCartney Kessler moves into the lower tier of seeds this week, after jumping from No. 42 to No. 32 on the rankings following her run to the Nottingham title.

The 2024 Wimbledon women’s champion, Barbora Krejcikova, is currently ranked No. 17 and thus will be the No. 17 seed this year, and a potential third-round nightmare for one of the Top 16 seeds.

And speaking of former champions, 2023 Wimbledon women’s winner Marketa Vondrousova will be unseeded in the draw, and a potential first-round nightmare for someone. She jumps from No. 164 to No. 73 on the rankings today after winning the WTA 500 event in Berlin, where she beat two Top 10 players along the way in Keys and Sabalenka.

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Last but not least, a feel-good story on the ATP rankings, as Marin Cilic returns to the Top 100 for the first time since August of 2023, rising from No. 101 to No. 85 after capturing a Challenger title in Nottingham.

The 2014 US Open champion and former No. 3 has had a tough few years, with two knee surgeries—one in 2023, one in 2024—and even falling off the rankings for a short period in 2024. But he’s been building momentum again since last summer, and now he’s Top 100 again.