Jannik Sinner will keep his No. 1 ranking after Wimbledon no matter what Carlos Alcaraz does

With so many ranking points on offer at a Grand Slam, there’s usually a chance that the No. 1 ranking will change hands after the tournament.

But not this time—for the men or the women.

First of all, Jannik Sinner is guaranteed to keep his No. 1 ranking after Wimbledon, no matter how Carlos Alcaraz does at SW19.

Sinner’s lead at the top of the ATP rankings is just too big—he’s 2,730 points ahead of No. 2-ranked Alcaraz, 10,030 to 7,300. Not only that, but Alcaraz can’t even add any points, as he’s defending the maximum 2,000 points for winning the title last year. Meanwhile, Sinner is only defending 400 points for a quarterfinal showing last year, meaning he could add as many as 1,600 points to his ranking if he wins the title.

Alcaraz’s No. 2 ranking could be in danger, though.

If Zverev wins the title, or if Zverev reaches the final and Alcaraz loses before the quarterfinals, the German would return to No. 2.

Sinner is spending his 56th and 57th consecutive weeks at No. 1 during Wimbledon, and will have at least a 58th the week after.

It’s almost exactly the same story on the women’s side, as Aryna Sabalenka is guaranteed to keep her No. 1 ranking after Wimbledon, no matter what her closest challenger, Coco Gauff, does.

Sabalenka’s lead at the top of the WTA rankings is even bigger—she’s 3,741 points ahead of No. 2-ranked Gauff, 11,640 to 7,899, and though Gauff can add points as she fell in the fourth round of Wimbledon last year, Sabalenka can add even more points as she had to miss the tournament completely last year due to a shoulder injury.

Gauff’s No. 2 ranking is under threat, though, as No. 3-ranked Jessica Pegula could pass her with a deep run at Wimbledon. Pegula would rise to No. 2 if she reaches the final (and Gauff loses first round) or if she wins the title (and Gauff loses before the semifinals).

Sabalenka is spending her 45th and 46th career weeks at No. 1 during the Wimbledon fortnight, and will have at least a 47th week at the top spot following the conclusion of the grass-court major.