Monday, October 18, 2021—the day after Indian Wells wraps up—could see a major shake-up in both the ATP and WTA rankings, as ranking points from eight ATP tournaments and four WTA tournaments, as well as 2020 Roland Garros points for the women if they’re still on there, will all be dropping off that day.
So who are some of the players dropping the most points? Let’s break it down…
THE EIGHT ATP EVENTS DROPPING OFF AFTER INDIAN WELLS:
~ 2019 Indian Wells (Masters 1000, champion Thiem)
~ 2019 Shanghai (Masters 1000, champion Medvedev)
~ 2020 St. Petersburg (ATP 500, champion Rublev)
~ 2019 Antwerp (ATP 250, champion Murray)
~ 2019 Moscow (ATP 250, champion Rublev)
~ 2019 Stockholm (ATP 250, champion Shapovalov)
~ 2020 Cologne-1 (ATP 250, champion Zverev)
~ 2020 Sardinia (ATP 250, champion Djere)
While this swath of tournaments dropping off will affect almost every player in the upper echelon of the ATP rankings, there are a few key storylines to look out for.
The battle for No. 1: It seemed like Daniil Medvedev was closing in on Novak Djokovic for the No. 1 ranking after he won his first Grand Slam title at the US Open, but the No. 2-ranked Russian may be the most affected by this—he’s dropping 1,025 points, which includes 1,000 for winning Shanghai in 2019. With Djokovic only dropping 203 points, the gap between No. 1 and No. 2 could grow to almost 2,000 points (though Medvedev can obviously earn 1,000 points again by winning Indian Wells).
No. 10 Ruud coming for No. 9 Federer, No. 8 Thiem: Casper Ruud is the only player in the Top 10 not dropping any points, and with Roger Federer dropping 480 points (2019 Indian Wells final, 2019 Shanghai quarterfinals) and Dominic Thiem dropping 680 points (2019 Indian Wells title, 2019 Shanghai quarterfinals), Ruud is guaranteed to pass Federer, and could pass Thiem too. Federer could very well get bumped out of the Top 10 in two weeks—No. 11 Felix Auger-Aliassime and No. 12 Hubert Hurkacz are just a handful of points behind him, with a few more within striking distance, too.