Grigor Dimitrov has been on a tear since the start of the Rolex Paris Masters, having earned wins over Lorenzo Musetti, Daniil Medvedev, Alexander Bublik and Hubert Hurkacz. The problem for Dimitrov is that he just so happens to be running into a player that is hotter than him right now: Stefanos Tsitsipas. The Greek star just followed up a straight-set win over Alexander Zverev with a 6-3, 6-4 win over Karen Khachanov in the quarterfinals. The 25-year-old looks like he has completely recaptured the magic that got him up to No. 3 in the world back in 2021—which makes it hard to lay off him as a small betting favorite in his semifinal meeting with Dimitrov.
Tsitsipas has absolutely dominated Dimitrov in their head-to-head, going 6-1 in their seven tour-level matchups. That’s the type of thing that can be hard to overcome for the player on the wrong side of it, even though Dimitrov is playing with some real confidence right now.