RG 22 WSF Split

Coco Gauff vs. Martina Trevisan

Recent Roland Garros women’s events have featured at least one unexpected semifinalist. Last year it was Tamara Zidansek; in 2020 it was Nadia Podosorska; in 2019 it was Marketa Vondrousova. This time we have the 59th-ranked Trevisan. While she did make the quarterfinals in Paris in 2020, the 28-year-old hasn’t been past the second round at any other major in her career.

Of course, the presence of Gauff, the 23rd seed, is also something of a surprise. She too was a quarterfinalist at RG, last year, but she has never reached a Grand Slam semi. At the last two, in New York and Melbourne, she lost early. But she has made the most of the early-round carnage here. Last week, when the top four seeds in the bottom half of the draw—Barbora Krejcikova, Anett Kontaveit, Maria Sakkari and Ons Jabeur—went out in the first and second rounds, that section quickly turned into the wild west. Gauff and Trevisan have each faced just one seed thus far.

The American and the Italian have played once before, in the second round at Roland Garros two years ago, and Trevisan won 7-5 in the third. Gauff has obviously improved since then, and she hasn’t dropped a set this year. But Trevisan loves this tournament, and she’ll fight, loudly, to the finish. Winner: Gauff

Advertising

MAKE YOUR PICKS, AND YOU COULD WIN BIG

MAKE YOUR PICKS, AND YOU COULD WIN BIG

Think you know what'll happen in Wimbledon? Tell us in our Match Point Predictor.

Iga Swiatek vs. Daria Kasatkina

“She’s not herself today.” “She’s making errors she doesn’t normally make.” “She’s emotionally on edge.” These are the types of statements that TV commentators made during Swiatek’s quarterfinal match with Jessica Pegula on Wednesday. And they weren’t incorrect; Swiatek was missing more often than she has been for much of 2022. But she also won the match 6-3, 6-2 and extended her win streak to 33.

That’s where we stand with Swiatek today: We expect perfection from her, but even when we don’t get it, she still has more than enough to do the job. In her previous match, she appeared to be wobbling mentally when she lost the first set to Qinwen Zheng. Then she won the last two, 6-0, 6-2.

Will something similar happen against Kasatkina? It seems possible. She hasn’t dropped a set on her way to her first Grand Slam semifinal; that’s something even Swiatek can’t claim. The Russian has reminded us of the flowing creativity that landed her, briefly, in the Top 10 four years ago. But Kasatkina hasn’t exactly gone up against Swiatekian competition in Paris, either. The highest seed she has faced is No. 28 Camila Giorgi; now she’ll trade blows with a dominant No. 1.

Swiatek has already beaten Kasatkina three times, in straight sets, in 2022. In their fourth meeting, Swiatek will probably make errors; she’ll probably gesticulate toward her player box; she might even have her serve broken. And she’ll win anyway. Winner: Swiatek

Advertising

INTERVIEW IN PARIS: Swiatek wins her 33rd straight match to reach semis