Aryna Sabalenka vs. Sofia Kenin
This match comes with a strong sense of déja vu. In 2023, Sabalenka won Madrid and arrived in Rome as the WTA’s player of the moment. Then she faced Kenin in the second round, and promptly went down to defeat in straight sets. That day, she looked less than fully ready to compete, and Kenin was steady enough to make her pay for it.
Two years later, Sabalenka again comes to Rome with a Madrid title in her pocket, as well as the No. 1 ranking. This time, she looked fully prepared for her opening match, which she won 6-2, 6-2 over Anastasia Potapova. After Kenin’s ambush of 2023, Sabalenka should be prepared for the American this time as well.
Sabalenka leads their head-to-head 3-1, but none of her wins came on clay. Kenin is also a better player than she wa at this time two years ago; she’s up to No. 31, and is coming off a runner-up run on green clay in Charleston. All of which will make this an interesting test of how far Sabalenka has come a a player and a professional since 2023. Winner: Sabalenka