The Pick: Aryna Sabalenka vs. Ons Jabeur, Wimbledon quarterfinal

Ons Jabeur is officially in the zone. After dropping the first set of her fourth-rounder to Iga Swiatek on Monday, 7-5, the Tunisian caught fire, winning the second and third sets, 6-1, 6-1, in a grand total of 54 minutes. Jabeur won a ridiculous 70 percent of all points in the final two sets, and for her effort will take on Aryna Sabalenka—who also advanced to her first Wimbledon quarterfinal—on Tuesday.

Sabalenka has flown quietly under the radar, but the No. 2 seed played some exceptional tennis in her 6-3, 4-6, 6-3, victory over Elena Rybakina. Locked at 3-3 in the final set, Sabalenka won 12 consecutive points to finally advance to her first major quarterfinal.

According to DraftKings Sportsbook, the Belarusian is listed as a -148 favorite and projected to win by 2.5 games. It’s difficult to think of two streakier players than Sabalenka and Jabeur, so any bets placed should definitely be on the small side.

So far at SW19, Jabeur has been, by far, the best shotmaker of the tournament. From around-the-net-post-winners to frozen-rope forehands, and even some vintage Federer-esque drop-shot return winners, Jabeur has shown us there’s nothing she can’t do on the tennis court.

As was this winner in her third-round upset over Garbiñe Muguruza:

But against Sabalenka’s unrelenting pace, Jabeur will need to dial back her flashiness. Her already slim margin for error on most shots will be compounded facing Sabalenka’s brute force. Executing a perfect drop shot against Swiatek is one thing, but doing so against a ball clubbed six inches from the baseline by the Belarusian is another thing entirely.

Opposing a player in Jabeur’s current form feels wrong, but the way Sabalenka closed out Rybakina suggests she may be ready for her first major breakthrough. Now that Jabeur won’t receive a full day's rest, the fitness edge certainly lies with Sabalenka. It’s a toss-up, but Sabalenka’s raw power should serve her well.

The Pick: Aryna Sabalenka