The only previous meeting between these two was at a Challenger in Newport Beach in 2019, when Andreescu prevailed in three sets.

On Tuesday, tennis fans around the world will be treated to a match between world No. 14 Jessica Pegula and world No. 111 Bianca Andreescu at the Mutua Madrid Open. Of course, Andreescu isn’t your ordinary player outside of the Top 100. The Canadian is a former world No. 4 and won the 2019 US Open. And at the age of 21, you can expect Andreescu to find her way back to the top of the women’s game soon. Perhaps raising the trophy at a WTA 1000 is exactly what she needs to make her presence on the tour felt again.

While Andreescu hasn’t played much tennis this year, she has played the same amount of clay-court matches as her opponent: four. Both are 3-1 on the dirt in 2022, but it’s hard not to see this as a match that Andreescu should win. The 21-year-old is clearly the better player between these two when she’s on her game, and she doesn’t appear to be far off her top level right now.


Danielle Collins isn’t playing her best tennis at the moment, but Andreescu came away with a 6-1, 6-1 win over the world No. 8 in their meeting in her last match. Collins looked rather defeated early in the match, as she didn’t have many answers for Andreescu from the start. Andreescu has lost just two games in her last three sets, and should have mounds of confidence as she heads into her match with Pegula.

Pegula’s aggressive game from the baseline often gives her an advantage over her opponents, but Andreescu has what it takes to handle everything that the American will throw at her. There aren’t many players on tour that can overpower Andreescu, who should be able to move Pegula around the court. The Canadian also has some impressive touch, which should allow her to mix things up and keep Pegula guessing.

Overall, it wouldn’t be all that surprising if this were to go to a third set, making the Over on the game total another play we like in this one. (It worked yesterday for The Pick's eighth straight cash.) However, backing the stronger player at favorable odds is the safer play, and you should feel good about Andreescu getting across the finish line in the end.

The Pick: Andreescu To Win (-115)