If you’ve been reading The Pick for a while, you’ve probably learned that if something looks too good to be true, then it probably is. You can probably apply that to tonight’s meeting between world No. 12 Cameron Norrie and world No. 9 Felix Auger-Aliassime in the semifinals of the Los Cabos Open. The Canadian happens to be 4-0 in his four previous meetings with the Brit. That’s a pretty significant edge, but it’s one that we actually think you should ignore when handicapping their fifth contest.
While Auger-Aliassime looks like the better play, on paper, he has lost four of his last seven matches. Meanwhile, Norrie is 7-1 in his last eight, with the one loss being a four-set defeat at the hands of world No. 6 Novak Djokovic at Wimbledon. Djokovic is still the best player on the planet, so it’s hard to really fault the lefty for losing that match—and he played rather well in it. The point here is that it’s Norrie that is much playing better tennis coming into this semifinal, even though both players have earned two straight-sets wins in Mexico thus far.