Ernests Gulbis vs. (WC) Gael Monfils
Head-to-head: First meeting
Emotive, explosive characters collide in what could be the most crowd-pleasing match of the day. They're both playing with plenty of purpose, are agile and quick around the court, can back up opponents with heavy first serves, and can punish the mid-court ball off either wing.
Gulbis is 25-5 over his last 30 matches and pushed Rafael Nadal to three sets in both Indian Wells and Rome. The Latvian, who hits with the vigor of a rugby player, will step up to the baseline and take his cracks—he won't be coerced into playing too many grinding rallies. If Gulbis sustains the controlled power he exhibited in blowing Rafa off the court in Rome, he will be very tough to beat.
Monfils is an acrobat and a blast to watch when he's inspired, but Sliderman's tendency to play passive, retrieving tennis under pressure undermines his talents. Still, the Frenchman has played his most passionate tennis in Paris, showed a lot of guts saving triple-break point late in the fifth set of his upset of Tomas Berdych, is serving effectively (26 aces against three double faults vs. Berdych), and has won 10 of his last 11 clay-court matches.
In 2008, Gulbis was a quarterfinalist and Monfils made it to the semifinals. I think the winner of this match will make another run at Roland Garros. It may be another tense thriller, but I see Monfils extending the magic.
The Pick: Monfils in five sets