Ernests Gulbis vs. (6) Jo-Wilfried Tsonga
Head-to-head: Tsonga leads 3-0
These two can hit such blistering shots you almost expect the chair umpire to inspect the balls for bruise marks during changeovers. Tsonga has shown all-surface skills in reaching the 2008 Australian Open final, successive Wimbledon semifinals, and his first French Open final four earlier this month.
Gulbis slammed 30 aces upsetting seventh-ranked Tomas Berdych in the first round of Wimbledon last year. The talented Latvian's strengths—a stinging serve, jolting two-handed backhand, ominous return and immense power—make him a dangerous opponent.
Tsonga will want to engage Gulbis in forehand exchanges and try to make him pass off his reconstructed forehand, which is the Latvian's least reliable side. Gulbis will want to work over Tsonga's sometime sketchy backhand hitting his two-hander crosscourt.
Gulbis is 9-35 lifetime vs. Top 10 opponents, with his lone Top 10 win this season coming against Janko Tipsarevic in Indian Wells. Tsonga is the better big match player—he's reached at least the quarterfinals in six of his last eight Grand Slam events, while Gulbis has one major quarterfinal to his credit in 23 Grand Slam appearances, and he's failed to surpass the second round in 18 straight majors. Tsonga knows the volatile Gulbis is a threat and will be ready for this test, which could feature a few tiebreakers.
The Pick: Tsonga in four sets