(1) Serena Williams vs. (23) Sabine Lisicki
Head-to-head: Williams leads 2-0
Coming off a milestone victory—her 600th career triumph and 70th Wimbledon win—Williams is competing with the intensity of someone striving to play the perfect match.
When the two fastest servers in the tournament collide—Serena smacked a tournament-best 123 M.P.H. serve, while Sabine has slammed a 122 M.P.H. bomb—breaks could come at a premium. Considering Lisicki is a dynamic grass-court player with two quarterfinals and a semifinal appearance at SW19 to her credit, and coming off a three-set win over Samantha Stosur (the third fastest server in the event), you can argue Lisicki poses a similar threat to Serena that Svetlana Kuznetsova did at Roland Garros earlier this month.
In their two prior meetings Serena surrendered a total of four games. The 16-time Grand Slam champion is a powerhouse even more explosive playing off pace, which she'll get plenty of from Lisicki, who isn't shy about ripping her shots.
I like Lisicki's game and spirit—she doesn't shrink from tennis' grandest stage—and she is my darkhorse pick to win it all. But Serena is the most lethal server and the most dangerous returner in the game, is on a career-best 34-match winning streak, does everything a little bit better—and I see her having the answers to advance.
The Pick: Williams in two sets