On Tuesday, Taylor Fritz will play arguably the biggest match of his entire career. The 25-year-old has a date with Novak Djokovic, with the winner advancing to the semifinals of the US Open. Fritz has never made it further than the quarterfinals of a major, so the pressure will be on here. And while I’m not quite sure the American has what it takes to win outright, I do think we’ll get a big performance from him. With that in mind, I’m taking Fritz to win a set at -140 odds.
Fritz and Djokovic recently met in Cincinnati, where the 23-time Grand Slam champion came away with a 6-0, 6-4 win. Djokovic went on to win that tournament, beating defending US Open champion Carlos Alcaraz in an all-time classic in the final. But Fritz wasn’t as bad as the score suggests in their quarter-final matchup. In fact, Fritz was up a break on Djokovic in the second set. If Fritz brought his B+ game to that match, rather than a C or D effort, he likely would have forced a decider. But it wasn’t meant to be on that day, which is why Djokovic is such a heavy favorite here.