Wimbledon men's semifinal, final, champion predictions: Can Alcaraz or Djokovic be threatened?

Our Wimbledon expert picks are in. Click around on TENNIS.com for our editors' and writers' thoughts on:

• Men's semifinal, final, champion predictions: Alcaraz? Djokovic? A surprise or two?
• Women's semifinal, final, champion predictions: Rybakina, Sabelenka, Swiatek—or a new Slam winner?
• What will be the biggest first or second-round upset?
• Who will be the last American standing?

Joel Drucker

• Semifinals: Alcaraz vs. Paul, Sinner vs. Djokovic
• Final: Alcaraz vs. Djokovic
• Champion: Djokovic

There are 127 men in the field who hold faith that they’ll be able to find their best tennis at the sport’s most important tournament. In contrast, Djokovic's belief is fueled by data: skill, fitness, experience. Alcaraz is the strongest challenger, but surely the way he broke down at Roland Garros was a jolt that’s required a bit of reassessment in how he prepares for high-stakes matches.

Matt Fitzgerald

• Semifinals: Alcaraz vs. Paul, Sinner vs. Djokovic
• Final: Alcaraz vs. Djokovic
• Champion: Djokovic

We hear the phrase “player versus the field” often in tennis. And it certainly rings true here, as just one player (Murray) has beaten Djokovic on grass previously. Alcaraz showed encouraging signs of growth on the surface in his Queen’s Club title run—but Centre Court is Novak’s Northern Hemisphere summer residence, and he’s not ready to lease it out just yet.

David Kane

• Semifinals: Alcaraz vs. Korda, Shapovalov vs. Djokovic
• Final: Alcaraz vs. Djokovic
• Champion: Djokovic

Alcaraz and Korda are coming into their own on grass, while former semifinalist Shapovalov, in a section with a potentially injured Sinner and undercooked Ruud, has a highway to match his best Slam result and right the ship on a sinking season. Still, Wimbledon is Novak’s house until proven otherwise.

Jon Levey

• Semifinals: Alcaraz vs. Korda, Sinner vs. Djokovic
• Final: Alcaraz vs. Djokovic
• Champion: Djokovic

Sure, he skipped all of the grass court tune-up events, but Djokovic hasn’t lost a match at Wimbledon since 2017. Hard to bet against that level of muscle memory.

Stephanie Livaudais

• Semifinals: Alcaraz vs. Tsitsipas, Fritz vs. Djokovic
• Final: Alcaraz vs. Djokovic
• Champion: Alcaraz

He may have worried fans at Roland Garros, but it just made top seed Alcaraz even more determined to prove himself on grass. He made a statement by winning his first title on the surface last week at Queen’s Club, and thanks to landing in the wide-open top half of the Wimbledon draw, Alcaraz looks poised to complete the London double—and potentially score a bit of revenge along the way.

Ed McGrogan

• Semifinals: Alcaraz vs. Medvedev, Fritz vs. Djokovic
• Final: Alcaraz vs. Djokovic
• Champion: Djokovic

Wimbledon is not just the center of the tennis world each year, it's the center of the sports world in mid-July, with football (both American and worldwide), basketball and hockey all in their off-seasons. Baseball is in its endless mid-season, and this summer doesn't feature an Olympic Games, World Cup or European Championships. If tennis gets its way, a Centre Court showdown between Carlitos and Novak will materialize—and it will last beyond two competitive sets. As for Fritz, this feels like the time for his breakthrough at a major.

Steve Tignor

• Semifinals: Alcaraz vs. Norrie, Fritz vs. Djokovic
• Final: Norrie vs. Djokovic
• Champion: Djokovic

Norrie has experience in a Wimbledon semifinal, and he has a win over Alcaraz this season. And this will be one time when Alcaraz won’t have the crowd behind him. Djokovic is 10-0 in Grand Slam semifinals since 2019, and hasn’t lost one at Wimbledon since 2012. Djokovic is 7-1 in Wimbledon finals, and 3-0 against Norrie. It’s true that the one final-round defeat came against a British player, Murray, in 2013, but Djokovic has learned his lesson about letting major finals slip through his fingers since then.