All figures from DraftKings Sportsbook
Stan Wawrinka to defeat Alexander Zverev (+125)
Take nothing away from Zverev’s impressive run to the quarterfinals in Melbourne, but Wawrinka should not be an underdog in this match. Not only did the Swiss win this tournament in 2014, he powered his way through Daniil Medvedev, something nobody except Rafael Nadal has been able to do. Zverev has never made it to a major semifinal, and while he’s looked great, betting on someone to accomplish a first on this type of stage is unwise.
Perhaps the oddsmakers believe Wawrinka’s fitness is in question. Still, with a 27-25 career record in five-set matches, he’s plenty comfortable going the distance. Wawrinka was the much fitter player in the fifth set against Medvedev, and with a full recovery day, he's the correct bet, especially at this price.
Garbine Muguruza vs. Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova: Over 21.5 games (-115)
One of the best bets to make in tennis gambling is the over/under total game count. So often the outcome is unpredictable, but when two in-form players face off, betting the over is the way to go.
Both Muguruza and Pavyluchenkova have slayed giants all week. Muguruza ousted Top 10 players Elina Svitolina and Kiki Bertens, while Pavlyuchenkova dispatched Karolina Pliskova and Angelique Kerber. No one expected this quarterfinal matchup, but here we are—and judging by the level of both players, a three-set match seems imminent. Muguruza could win this match in straights, but to go over 21.5 games, a 7-5, 6-4 victory still gets the job done.
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