Lorenzo Sonego's stock is fast rising. The only player ranked outside the Top 30 to defeat Novak Djokovic since Philip Kohlschreiber in 2019, Sonego has vaulted himself from a solid ATP Top 100 player into a formidable contender.
This match opened as a pick-em, but money has been pouring in on the Italian, who is now listed as a solid -146 favorite to defeat David Goffin. The Belgian survived a tough test against the very underrated Benjamin Bonzi on Wednesday, but showed signs of vulnerability throughout, facing 19 total break points in the match.
It's unwise to count out Goffin on his best surface—an indoor hard court—but Sonego's firepower will likely prove too much in this particular matchup. Sonego throttled the red-hot Sebastian Korda 6-3, 6-2 on Wednesday and is showing no signs of slowing down in Montpellier.
Meanwhile, in Singapore, Marin Cilic looks to advance to his first semifinal since 2019 Moscow as he takes on the rock-solid baseliner Soon-woo Kwon. Though Cilic's form and ranking are declining, the 6'6" Croat remains an elite player on an indoor hard court. Look for Cilic to capitalize on his free points earned on serve, while making the Korean earn most of his points the hard way.
Cilic is listed as a -136 favorite over Kwon, and barring a catastrophic serving performance, should sink his teeth deep into the match, while earning plenty of break point chances on the Korean's serve. There's a chance Kwon proves too tough from the baseline, but it's one we are willing to take given his somewhat slow start to the season.
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