On Sunday, Hubert Hurkacz and Jannik Sinner will play the most important match of their young careers as they vie for their first Masters 1000 title in the Miami Open final. The huge-serving Pole dismissed Andrey Rublev all too easily to improve his record to 9-0 this season in the Sunshine State, while Sinner survived Roberto Bautista Agut 5-7, 6-4, 6-4, despite getting outplayed for most of the match.
According to DraftKings Sportsbook, the Italian is listed as a -175 favorite and projected to win by three total games. This will be nothing new for Hurkacz, who was a sizeable underdog in his last four matches—wins over Denis Shapovalov, Milos Raonic, Stefanos Tsitsipas and Rublev.
Hurkacz’s combination of incredible court coverage and his 130+ m.p.h. serve was the perfect foil to Rublev’s unrelenting aggression. On Friday, he forced Rublev to aim for unsafe targets while racking up eight aces and plenty more unreturned serves.
Hurkacz has shown that when he is in form, his game is powerful and versatile enough to flummox the world’s best players.
But Sinner will present a new set of challenges, predominantly his power and accuracy from the ground. Up 5-4 in the third set against Bautista Agut, Sinner walloped three backhand winners to break the Spaniard at love.
The power that the teenager can generate from both wings is almost superhuman.
Hurkacz should not be underestimated, but Sinner’s ability to hold his nerve in pivotal moments should serve him well. Both players are 2-0 in finals, but look for the Italian to step up and claim this title. Sinner is a jaw-dropping talent, and will likely capitalize on this incredible opportunity to win a Masters 1000 before his 20th birthday.
The Pick: Jannik Sinner