(1) Novak Djokovic vs. (26) Grigor Dimitrov
Head-to-head: Djokovic leads 2-1
Dimitrov dazzled in defeating Djokovic last month in a wild, three-plus hour Madrid marathon. Can the ultra-talented Bulgarian deliver an upset encore?
Dimitrov has all the shots and has expended minimal effort so far, playing just four sets to arrive in his first Grand Slam third-round match. Dimitrov was inspired in Madrid and should gain confidence from his accomplishment, but I think there are some significant differences in the rematch. Djokovic, who rolled his right ankle and was hobbled a bit in Madrid, looks completely healthy and has been moving beautifully; the Serbian is the physically fitter player and should benefit from the best-of-five set format, whereas Dimitrov has been prone to cramping. Djokovic is also a Grand Slam veteran, while this is uncharted territory for his opponent.
Three of the last five sets these two have played have been decided in tiebreakers, so discount Dimitrov at your own peril. Still, I think Djokovic will be vigilant and very determined to get off to a good start. The crowd-pleasing Dimitrov can be electrifying, and if he's landing his first serve he can be tough to break, but Djokovic looks like a man on a mission here, and I don't see him losing to the same man twice in a row.
The Pick: Djokovic in four sets