(5) Petra Kvitova vs. (13) Maria Kirilenko
Head-to-head: Tied 3-3
They've faced off in pressure matches before: Kirilenko beat the 2011 Wimbledon champion in the Olympics last July; Kvitova answered with a victory in the New Haven final last August. Conditions—and conditioning—could be a factor. The forecast calls for "near-record" highs above 90 degrees, and this match could be played in the height of the heat. Kvitova's asthma has been an issue at times, particularly in North America, while Kirilenko is one of the fittest women in the game, though she is coming off a demanding three-set win.
The left-handed Kvitova is a pure ball striker, the more explosive player, and should be empowered riding an eight-match winning streak. Kirilenko is a savvy competitor who should be confident after beating Agnieszka Radwanska, but Kvitova is eager to reach her first Indian Wells semifinal, and I believe she'll do it.
The Pick: Kvitova in two sets