(6) Angelique Kerber vs. (16) Ana Ivanovic
Head-to-head: Ivanovic leads 2-0
Both women displayed grit in digging out comeback wins on Wednesday: Kerber edged former French Open champion Svetlana Kuznetsova, 3-6, 6-4, 7-5; Ivanovic rallied past Laura Robson, 5-7, 6-2, 7-6 (5).
Ivanovic’s toss can sometimes stray under pressure, and consequently she’s a streaky server: She served 50 percent and hit 10 aces and 10 double faults against Robson. She must have a sharper serving day against Kerber, who is winning 57 percent of points on opponents’ second serves and converting nearly 50 percent of her break-point chances.
Kerber is an annoying adversary because she’s so good controlling counter-strikes on the run that she can frustrate opponents into errors. Considering that Kerber is coming off the Stuttgart semifinals, contesting her fourth quarterfinal in her last five tournaments, and is the better defender, I can’t argue if you’re picking her to beat a former French Open champion for the second straight match. Still, Ivanovic is competing with a greater calm recently, is 7-1 on clay this season, and is the flatter hitter. If she’s making the first strike, can control rallies, and is proactive with her footwork and solid on serve, I see her prevailing.
The Pick: Ivanovic in three sets