(1) Serena Williams vs. (7) Sara Errani
Head-to-head: Williams leads 4-0
Sara cites Serena as the toughest opponent she’s ever faced, writing on her WTA blog this week: “[Serena’s] so strong, stronger than the other players.”
Williams relied on her defiance, declarative serve, and timely shotmaking to overcome 45 unforced errors in a sloppy, 6-3, 0-6, 7-5 comeback win over 63rd-ranked Spaniard Anabel Medina Garrigues, who missed a wide open forehand pass that would have given her a match point on Serena’s serve at 4-5 in the decider.
French Open finalist Errani has been sharp, sweeping left-handers Varvara Lepchenko and Ekaterina Makarova in succession. Errani will want to extend rallies, put plenty of balls back in play, and hope Serena's footwork stagnates.
Errani has been spinning her serve in as a point-starter (she served 82 percent against Lepchenko and 80 percent versus Makarova) so Serena should step into the court, take the ball on the rise, and rip high-percentage returns into the corners—and right back at Errani on occasion—to take charge early. Serena spaced out against Medina Garrigues, looking sluggish and hitting flat-footed at times, but she must be on her toes and quick off the mark against the speedy Errani.
The defending champion is much more dangerous off both serve and return, and if she’s patient working her backhand cross-court to the 5'4" Italian’s backhand, she will open up the court for her backhand down the line. Serena typically turns it up near the finish line.
The Pick: Williams in two sets