Jerzy Janowicz vs. (6) Tomas Berdych
Head-to-head: Berdych leads 1-0
The 6'8" Janowicz lit up the Masters stage last fall in Paris, playing through qualifying to reach the final. He became the first man since Harel Levy in 2000 to reach the title match in his Masters debut.
Though Janowicz is at his best on hard courts, he won three Challenger titles on clay last season, and opened Madrid by hitting seven aces and dropping just four points on his first serve in a sweep of Sam Querrey.
Berdych was runner-up to Roger Federer at the 2012 Madrid event. He opened this season on a 21-6 run, reaching at least the quarterfinals in all six of his hard-court tournaments, which included a three-set win over Janowicz in Marseille. But the flat-hitting Czech is just 2-2 on clay in 2013, and could be challenged by both his opponent's serving and the pressure of defending a substantial number of points from last year.
Service breaks will be at a premium, and Berdych has done a good job holding serve throughout the season. For that, and for his experience, he is the pick to gain his 400th career win and advance.
The Pick: Berdych in two sets