Maria Sharapova vs. Sabine Lisicki
Head-to-head: Sharapova leads 4-1
Clay-court tennis can be about creating distance, and these two don’t give up ground easily. Two of their last three meetings have gone the distance: Sharapova prevailed in three sets at the Australian Open and Olympics last year; Lisicki was a 6-4, 6-3 winner at Wimbledon last summer.
Both are at their best dictating play. Lisicki’s first serve can be a dangerous weapon (she’s hit 130 aces against 71 double faults this year); Sharapova is a sniper on return. Sharapova’s success returning Lisicki’s second serve will be key to the outcome.
Sharapova is the more consistent player who brings fire and focus on every point, whereas Lisicki, who shares the Russian’s skill for the big strike, can flicker into lapses and play loose points. Sharapova successfully defended her Stuttgart title last month, and her flat-hitting style should play well in the altitude. She’s riding a six-match clay-court win streak this year (18 in a row dating back to last year), but her last loss to a woman ranked outside the Top 10 was against Lisicki. I don’t expect Sharapova to tolerate a recurrence.
The Pick: Sharapova in two sets