1. Rafael Nadal
There had been a few tight moments in his straight-set win over Fabio Fognini at Roland Garros this year, but nothing that would have led you to believe he would go down 2-6, 1-4 to the Italian yesterday. Maybe Fognini’s 0 and 2 win over Lleyton Hewitt earlier this week was as much about the winner as it was the loser.
But Rafa survived, and is one win from No. 1. I’ll be interested to see how he does when he gets back to the top. The consensus is that he doesn’t like to be in that position, that he’s better as the hunter than he is as the hunted. It’s true that struggling and “suffering,” as he says, are at the core of his success, but I never thought he seemed uncomfortable at No. 1, either. In 2009, he lost the top spot in part because of injuries to his knees and abdominals, and in 2011 Djokovic was just better than he was.
This would seem, finally, to be Rafa’s time to have a long run at No. 1; having no points to defend at the Australian Open and Wimbledon won't hurt. But we'll see; in fact, we might see right away. Nadal could play the man whose spot he’s taking, Djokovic, in the final on Sunday. The last time that happened was on the WTA side earlier this season in Doha. There Victoria Azarenka beat Serena Williams just as the American was moving ahead of her, for good.
Next opponent: Tomas Berdych (Nadal leads their head to head 16-3, and has won their last 15 meetings.)