WTA Beijing: It just wouldn’t be right if tennis didn’t kick out at least one result that the politicians like to call the “fall surprise.” For the WTA this week, that’s Jelena Jankovic. But baseball fans also have their seasonal meme, the ritual “fall collapse” of a league-leading team. For the WTA this week, that’s Petra Kvitova.
The women earned those associations simultaneously today, with Jankovic powering past the red-hot Kviova and into the final (where she’ll play Serena Williams, who routed Agnieszka Radwanska in her own semi). Jankovic was the No. 8 seed in a loaded field; Kvitova was seeded just one notch lower, but coming off a win in Tokyo last week. A streaky player, Kvitova seemed on fire. But after she won a tight first-set tiebreaker, Jankovic made great use of her nimble feet, excellent defense, and Kvitova’s reliable tendency to self-destruct to salt away the final two, ugly sets. They cumulatively lasted under an hour; Jankovic won the match 6-7 (7), 6-1, 6-1.
Fans of Jankovic’s fluid, athletic game—if there are any of those left, after she’s teased and then dashed their hopes so frequently—are probably wondering if this fall surprise might be a harbinger of the long-awaited, extended moment when she regains the confidence that once propelled her to the No. 1 ranking, a runner-up finish at the 2008 U.S. Open, and a triumph at Indian Wells. A win over Williams, who has already clinched the year-end No. 1 ranking, would certainly advance that theory.
And here’s the thing: Serena will need to keep her eyes on the ball in the final. Jankovic has an excellent record against Williams, 4-6. There’s nothing deceptive about that record, which makes the thrashings and flailings of Maria Sharapova and Victoria Azarenka against Williams seem almost amateurish (the combined record favors Williams, 27-5).
By contrast, Williams is just 2-1 in meetings with Jankovic since 2010. Granted, Jankovic’s win in that period was on clay, in 2010, but she has the kind of game than can trouble Williams, mainly because her defense is superb. Jankovic’s big problem in recent times has been winning enough matches to get opposite Serena. That hasn’t been a problem in Beijing.
ATP Beijing: What is there left to say about yet another meeting between Rafael Nadal and Novak Djokovic? They’ve dominated the headlines this week, shoving even Serena's big personality and game to the background. But here we are, in Rafa vs. Nole territory once again. And this time, my guess is that it will get ugly.
Nadal re-claimed the No. 1 ranking today, and he did it via a TKO of Tomas Berdych. The Czech luminary could have provided Djokovic with one more bittersweet week at the top of the rankings, had he been able to stop Nadal. But it all became moot when Berdych retired at 2-4 with a back injury. It was not exactly the way anyone, including Nadal, expected to re-gain the top spot, but he was the last person complaining—or rejoicing.
Referring to his struggle to find his game after having to take seven months off starting in July of 2012, Nadal said: “At the end, (number one) is just a number. . .What [makes] me happy is [everything] I did to be back where I am today.”
You could hardly blame Djokovic if he responded to this surprise ending to Nadal’s semi with a shrug and the comment, “It figures.” For things have broken Nadal’s way for a good portion of this year. Djokovic must feel a little hollow at being stripped of his ranking, yet he’s borne the inevitable news with his chin thrust out. He hammered Gasquet in his own semi, 6-4, 6-2, continuing the march to the showdown that everyone wanted to see: Rafa vs. Nole. This will be their 38th meeting; already a record for most career meetings (Nadal leads, 22-15), and it speaks volumes for the consistency of these two men.
The outlook for Djokovic may look terribly bleak; does anyone doubt that he’s feeling a little down about now? But you can also ask, can there be a better time for Djokovic to experience the sweet taste of revenge? A win over Nadal in the final tomorrow would add a tag-line to the headline, “Nadal Reclaims Number One Ranking.”
That tag-line would read, “To be continued. . .”