Each day during the Australian Open, Richard Pagliaro will preview three must-see matches—and offer his predictions.
For a preview of the Novak Djokovic vs. Stanislas Wawrinka quarterfinal, click here.
(4) Li Na vs. (28) Flavia Pennetta
*Head-to-head: Tied, 2-2 (Pennetta leads 2-1 in WTA-level matches)
Rod Laver Arena, first match*
They were born a day apart, and the 31-year-old veterans will square off for the first time in four years for a berth in the final four.
Sliding her serve into the corners, Pennetta has hit 22 aces and is winning 79 percent of her first-serve points—the best marks of any woman still standing. She’s also converted 22 break points.
Pennetta has bounced back from wrist surgery to play some of her most passionate tennis. The former doubles No. 1 is a complete player and is coming off her first career major semifinal at the U.S. Open.
Two-time Australian Open finalist Li is more emotionally combustible, but she’s also more explosive on the run—and she’s 9-0 this season. I definitely don’t rule out an upset here, particularly given Pennetta’s past success in this rivalry. But since saving a match point against Lucie Safarova, Li has played with clarity and calm, winning 18 of the last 23 games she’s contested. It's becoming clearer to see her reaching a fourth Melbourne semifinal in the last five years.
The Pick: Li in three sets