Milos Raonic sounded confident before his match on Thursday against Dominic Thiem. He said the faster court and indoor conditions at The O2 Arena favored him, and that he felt sure he would be able to take time away from Thiem and play the match “on my terms.”

This, of course, is how Raonic always sounds, and what he (almost) always says. Few players are as good at projecting an air of assurance, even inevitability, about their careers. To hear Raonic tell it, every match, whether he wins it or loses it, is just another step in his climb up the ATP ladder.

Raonic seems to understand that confidence and success are, in part, self-fulfilling prophecies; walk and talk with certainty, and you’ll become more certain of yourself. You have to give him credit, despite many tough losses and physical setbacks over the years. He has stayed on message, and he has continued to ascend. Raonic, who will turn 26 next month, reached his first major final this summer, at Wimbledon, and he has a chance to finish the year ranked a career-high No. 3. Now, with his sturdy, modestly imperious 7-6 (5), 6-3 win over Thiem in London, Raonic has advanced to the semifinals at the ATP’s season-ender for the first time.

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Speaking of fulfilling prophecies, Raonic’s preview of his match with Thiem proved to be prescient. He was opportunistic, he used his weapons and he clamped down with his serve, and when he needed to, he kept Thiem on the defensive. The crucial passage came with Thiem up 4-2 in the first-set tiebreaker. Raonic won the next point by throwing in a heavier, higher-bouncing forehand than normal; Thiem couldn’t get on top of it and sent a backhand wide. At 4-3, Raonic hit an ace. At 4-4, he hit another ace. At 5-4, he worked himself into position for a big forehand, and he didn’t miss it. Finally, at 6-5, he hit another ace—his 11th of the set—to close it out.

That’s the Raonic template in a nutshell: Use the serve to stay in the match, and win it by finding a couple of big shots, or smart shots—or maybe even just a lucky shot if all else fails—at the right moment. While he isn’t as fast, as consistent, as stylish or as powerful from the ground as Thiem, Raonic was the better competitor on Thursday. As successful as the 23-year-old Thiem’s long season has been, that might not be a bad way for him to end it. In 2016, he has proven that he has a champion’s game; now he needs to show he has a champion’s grit. It wasn’t there on Thursday.

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Raonic’s own successful season isn’t over. He finished No. 2 in his group behind Novak Djokovic; that means he could face Andy Murray, Stan Wawrinka or Kei Nishikori in the semis on Saturday, depending on what happens to those players on Friday. Raonic began 2016 with a surge to the semis in Melbourne; now he’s finishing the year in similar fashion. Does he have one more step up the ladder in him?