Whither women’s tennis? Serena Williams wins – when she plays. When will that be? We don’t know. Maria Sharapova will play on April 26th in Stuttgart but she hasn’t played for 15 months. How will she play? We don’t know.
When will Victoria Azarenka start combining motherhood with a return to the tour? Not sure. When will the remarkable Venus Williams find it impossible to go on winning matches at the age of 36, or 37, or 38? Only she knows – and maybe even she isn’t sure.
When will Petra Kvitova recover from the horrendous knife attack that damaged her hand? Happily the two-time Wimbledon champion seems to be progressing. But a date for her return? Don’t know.
I don’t think I can remember when the women’s game has faced so many imponderables. I suppose the men’s game has spoiled us for certainties over the past decade. If one of the Top 4 doesn't win, one of the others will. The winning statistics Roger Federer, Rafa Nadal, Novak Djokovic and Andy Murray have racked up at Grand Slams and the ATP 1000 level are staggering. It is inconceivable that another quartet will dominate the game so thoroughly for so long ever again.
The women’s game has too many variables for it to produce anything similar, although, for a period in the early 2000s, the remarkable Williams sisters made a good attempt at turning the WTA tour into a family affair. And that dominance might have been extended further had it not been for a variety of health problems, not solely related to physical injuries.
The extraordinary factor has been the inability of strong, talented players to maintain a serious challenge to Serena. Ana Ivanovic won the French Open in 2008, reached No 1 in the world, became overwhelmed by the pressure and fell away. Dinara Safina was No 1 in 2009 but, without a Grand Slam title, could not maintain it. Lack of a Slam title also made life strangely difficult for the determined Caroline Wozniacki in 2010 and 2011, but she doggedly held on to her No 1 ranking for 67 weeks.