keys-vs-swiatek

Where to Watch

🖥️📱 Click here for live coverage on TennisChannel.com (estimated start time 7 a.m., Wednesday, April 30)

The winner of this match will face No. 4 seed Coco Gauff or No. 7 seed Mirra Andreeva in the semifinals.

👉 Click here for the complete Madrid bracket.

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MATCH POINT: Madison Keys advances to final eight in Madrid over Donna Vekic in 76 minutes

Mutua Madrid Open Match Preview

One of the best matches of 2025 is getting a rematch at the Caja Magica with Iga Swiatek and Madison Keys reprising their Australian Open semifinal on clay.

Keys scored only her second victory over the world No. 1 in three dramatic sets, going on to win her first major title over defending champion Aryna Sabalenka in Melbourne. She followed that up with a run to the BNP Paribas Open semifinals but appeared to lose her way after a thudding loss to Sabalenka in the California desert.

Semifinalist in Madrid last year, Keys is back on track with three victories without losing a set; her win over Donna Vekic, who nearly beat her in Indian Wells, took just over an hour.

While Keys has sailed, Swiatek has struggled in her title defense, going three sets against both Alexandra Eala and Diana Shnaider. Both matches saw the No. 2 seed show impressive resilience to fend off her younger foes, and is now in a comfortable match-up against the American, whom she’s beaten three times on clay. Winner: SwiatekDavid Kane

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Betting Odds

Swiatek is a -300 moneyline favorite; Keys is a +240 underdog.

(Odds from BetMGM as of 1:41 p.m. ET on Tuesday, April 29)

👉 Click here for more betting coverage on TENNIS.com.